Ontario's Credit Outlook Downgraded To 'Negative' As Doug Ford Takes The Reins

Credit ratings agency Fitch has an unpleasant welcome gift for Ontario Premier-designate Doug Ford: A downgrade to the province’s credit outlook.

Fitch announced Friday it’s maintaining its “AA-” credit rating for the province, but is downgrading the future outlook to “negative” from “stable” on account of Ontario’s return to deficit spending — a trend started under Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals, but one that will continue under Ford.

If the negative outlook were to lead to a lower credit rating, Ontario could face higher borrowing costs, making its budget problems worse. Fitch says it could downgrade the province’s credit rating if the incoming Progressive Conservatives were to signal an “extended” period of deficits ahead.

After working for years to bring Ontario back to balanced budgets after the Great Recession of 2008-09, the provincial Liberals announced a return to deficit spending in this year’s budget, ahead of the spring election.

“The departing government’s tabled 2018 budget for fiscal 2019 forecast a return to annual deficits financed by debt issuance, a trajectory that appears likely to remain in place by the incoming PC party,” Fitch said in a statement.

“This change in fiscal plans is the reason for the outlook’s revision to negative.”

Watch: Things to know about Ontario’s next premier, Doug Ford (story continues below)

Ford’s provincial Progressive Conservatives didn’t promise an immediate return to balanced budgets, saying only they would get back in the black within three or four years. The party released an un-costed platform, making it difficult to determine what impact their promises would have on the budget.

In his campaign, Ford vowed a number of tax cuts, including a 20-per-cent reduction in taxes for those earning between $42,960 and $85,923, and a 10-cent-per-litre reduction in gas prices. Those measures are expected to cost the budget $3.5 billion per year in lost revenue.

Ford has said he would cover the shortfall by finding “efficiencies” within government, though he has not specified what those might be.

“As additional details on the incoming Progressive Conservatives’ fiscal priorities become available, the size of future annual deficits and the means of financing them, as well as the time frame by which the province will return to fiscal balance, will be significant to resolution of the negative outlook,” Fitch said.

The agency said if the PCs’ plan includes a lengthy period of deficits, it could mean a downgrade for the province’s credit rating.

US government shutdown to continue into new year as Congress locked in row over border wall

The US government partial shutdown was set to stretch deep into next week after legislators failed Thursday to make a breakthrough in the row over President Donald Trump’s demand for a US-Mexico border wall.

After convening for just a few minutes following the official Christmas break, a still nearly empty Senate adjourned, deciding to renew budget deliberations only next Wednesday, the last day of the current Republican-controlled Congress.

That would take the government shutdown, already on its sixth day, into 12.

Both sides have dug in, with Democrats refusing to provide $5 billion for Trump’s border wall project and the president insisting he will not fully fund the government unless he gets the money.

White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders accused Democrats of "openly choosing to keep our government closed to protect illegal immigrants rather than the American people."

She said Trump "will not sign a proposal that does not first prioritize our country’s safety and security."

As long as the wall debate holds up approval of a wider spending bill, about 800,000 federal employees are not getting salaries and non-essential parts of the government are unable to function.

Trump made clear he does not intend to give way first.

In a tweet Thursday, he once more accused Democrats of wanting to encourage illegal immigrants, "an Open Southern Border and the large scale crime that comes with such stupidity!"

"Need to stop Drugs, Human Trafficking, Gang Members & Criminals from coming into our Country," he said in another tweet, also lambasting "Democrat obstruction of the needed Wall."

Opponents, including some in his Republican party, accuse the president of exaggerating the danger from illegal immigration for his own political gain.

"No end in sight to the President’s government shutdown," Dick Durbin, a senior Democratic senator, tweeted.

"He’s taken our government hostage over his outrageous demand for a $5 billion border wall that would be both wasteful and ineffective."

Partial government shutdowns are not an unusual weapon in Washington budget negotiations, where party divides make cooperation a rarity.

But the rancor has spiraled under Trump’s abrasive administration and is set to go even higher after January 3 when the Democrats take over the House of Representatives, following their midterm election victory.

The mess has contributed to worries over the outlook for the US economy in 2019, following a surging 2018 performance.

The stock market has plummeted in recent days, before a record recovery on Wednesday, under a variety of factors including Trump’s barrage of criticism against the independent Federal Reserve.

Continuing the see-saw performance, Wall Street opened sharply lower Thursday but ended solidly higher on bargain hunting.

Large sections of the nearly 2,000-mile (3,200 kilometer) border with Mexico are already divided by fences and other barriers.

But immigrants – some fleeing danger and others just looking for jobs – continue to cross illegally.

Who is Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer? And what will she do next?

She is known as the “mini-Merkel” but 56-year-old Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer knows that as she plots her ascent to the German Chancellorship over the next three years she must move out of Angela Merkel’s shadow.

As she was installed as the new leader of Germany’s ruling Christian Democratic Union yesterday, she wasted no time in delivering that message.

While paying a heartfelt tribute to her political sponsor, Ms Kramp-Karrenbauer – or AKK as she is universally known – also warned that she wouldn’t be the comfortable partner to Mrsk Merkel that many have been assuming.

Naming Mrs Merkel directly, she said that the electorate expected their leaders to do less navel gazing on big themes and spend more time on the mundane matters that they struggle with in their everyday lives.

“I’ve heard many people describe me as a mini version, or as just a continuation. But I stand here as my own person, as a mother of three, as a former interior minister, state leader, who has served this land for 18 years and who has learned what it means to lead,” she told party delegates. “And that leadership has more to do with inner strength than how loud you talk.”

Ms Kramp-Karrenbauer hails from the tiny state of Saarland on the border with France and has spent most of her adult life in politics.

She joined the CDU in 1981, first serving in her local youth division of the party. After a decade as deputy leader of the powerful Women’s CDU she then made the leap up into the party’s national committee in 2010.

But it was not until last year, when she managed to turn the tide against the Social Democrats in Saarland that she became a household name.

Months before the national election where the CDU slumped to its worst result since 1949 winning just 32.9 per cent of the national vote, she managed to secure over 40 percent of the vote in Saarland, marking her out as a winner in a field of losers.

It was her toughness as a campaigner that then convinced Ms Merkel to bring Ms Kramp-Karrenbauer to Berlin to serve as the party’s secretary-general, an appointment that quickly marked her out as the heir-presumptive.

On the campaign trail for the post of party leader, Ms Kramp-Karrenbauer gained a reputation for explaining her politics by means of homely anecdotes from her small village just a few kilometers from the French border.

She recalled how her husband worked down the mines with Turkish immigrants, saying that in the depths of a mine it was how hard you worked not what shade your skin was that counted.

As opposed to her more truculent opponent, Friedrich Merz, she appeared to win over delegates with her calm demeanour and quiet optimism about the recent past and also the possibilities for the future.

Delegates at the party conference spoke enthusiastically about her skills as a team player who has showed an openness to dialogue after almost two decades of stifling diktat from above under Merkel.

Analysts also predict that she is well placed to reunite the party and win back voters who have drifted off to the Greens.

Manfred Güllner, head of the Forsa institute predicted that she would attract young first-time voters to the CDU and that she had the qualities to bring a silent, disillusioned majority in the east of the country back to the ballot box at key elections next year.

Internally Ms Kramp-Karrenbauer will have to address the concerns of nearly half the party who voted her rival Mr Merz who offered to put clear-cut, conservative alternative to the Greens and Social Democrats.

“With only 35 votes different, she cannot change nothing,” said Andreas Biebricher, a delegate with the state of Rhineland-Palatinate who supported Mr Merz. “She has to bring the other 482 delegates with her. The CDU always stood for values and we need to get this identity back.”

It will be an uphill battle, but Dan Hough, professor of Politics at the University of Sussex who specialises in Germany said that Ms Kramp-Karrenbauer had the political skills to reunite the CDU after a contest that – while polite – had only emphasised divisions.

“She’s an integrator at heart and that natural tendency will come in very useful,” he said. “AKK may have won the race to be the leader of the CDU, but she’ll be keen to make sure her opponents don’t feel like they have lost.”

Crude Oil Leaking Into Iowa's Little Rock River After Alberta Train Derails

DOON, Iowa — A freight train derailed in northwest Iowa on Friday, leaking crude oil from into flooded fields flanking the tracks and raising concerns about the possible contamination of residential water supplies downstream, officials said.

BNSF railroad spokesman Andy Williams said no one was injured when 33 oil tanker cars from Alberta, Canada, derailed around 4:30 a.m. Friday just south of Doon in Lyon County. Some of the tankers were compromised, causing the oil to leak into floodwaters and eventually into the rain-swollen Little Rock River, but officials didn’t have an exact number of tankers that leaked oil by late Friday afternoon, Williams said.

BNSF had hazardous materials and environmental experts on the scene and had begun cleanup within hours of the derailment, Williams said.

“We are containing the oil that was spilled as close to the incident as possible using containment booms and recovering it with skimmers and vacuum trucks,” he said.

Williams said he did not immediately know the train’s destination.

Lyon County Sheriff Steward Vander Stoep said between 30 and 40 semitrailers containing cleanup equipment had arrived at the scene near Doon, Iowa, by Friday afternoon.

Officials at the scene agreed that floodwater from the swollen Little Rock River played a part in causing the cars to leave the tracks, but said they weren’t yet sure whether the waters compromised the track, physically pushed the cars off it or played a part in some other way. The river rose rapidly Wednesday after 5 to 7 inches (13 to 18 centimetres) of rain fell Wednesday and a further downpour on Thursday.

A broadening sheen of oil spread near several of the tankers, which had piled up across the track and earthen berm, some submerged in the water.

Vander Stoep said that drinking water in Doon and the immediate area didn’t seem to be in danger of contamination.

But news of the spill was enough to prompt officials in Rock Valley, a small city about 5 miles (8.05 kilometres) southwest of the derailment, to shut off all the city’s drinking water wells. The water towers also will be drained as a precaution, said Rock Valley public information officer Travis Olson. In the meantime, the city is getting its water from the nearby Rock Valley Rural Water system, which Olson said is not in danger of being contaminated by the spill.

The city, with a population of nearly 3,400, will stay on the rural water system until testing by the Iowa Department of Natural Resources confirms the safety of the city’s drinking water, Olson said.

“I don’t know how long that will be,” he said. “It sounds like the cleanup is going to take a while.”

Williams said he was unsure how much oil leaked and how many of the cars were leaking. Lyon County Sheriff Stewart Vander Stoep said the oil was being carried downstream into the Rock River a few hundred yards west of the derailment.

No information was immediately available on how much oil each of the tankers was carrying. Cleanup crews were dispatched to the site.

Vander Stoep said four homes near the site were evacuated.

The Rock River had already carried some oil to Rock Valley by midmorning, said Ken Hessenius with the Iowa Natural Resources Department. State crews were trying to determine how fast the oil was travelling south. The Rock River joins the Big Sioux River before merging into the Missouri River at Sioux City.

The task difficulty is compounded by the spreading floodwater, he said.

“The river, instead of being 100 yards wide, is now maybe a half-mile wide” in spots, Hessenius said.

“Our first major concerns are public water supplies,” he said, adding that several towns that draw water from shallow wells near the Rock River have been alerted about possible contamination.

Doon is about 40 miles (65 kilometres) southeast of Sioux Falls, South Dakota, where several rain-swollen rivers overflowed Thursday. The National Weather Service has forecast flooding in the area into the weekend.

Vladimir Putin proves an unlikely pin-up in Japan topping 2019 calendar sales

He cuddles puppies, cycles nonchalantly in shades and lowers his near-naked torso into icy waters. But perhaps less conventionally, Japan’s latest calendar pin-up is no fresh-faced popstar: it’s Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia.

Loft, a Japanese chain of lifestyle stores, has reported that calendars featuring the rugged, blue-eyed Russian president are flying off the shelves and eclipsing even its most popular domestic celebrities.

Sales of official 2019 Putin calendars containing a stream of testosterone-fuelled images of the 66-year-old president were reportedly in Loft’s number one sales spot.

Following closely behind the perhaps unlikely political pin-up were calendars devoted to the thirty-something Japanese actor Kei Tanaka and, in third place, 24-year-old Olympic skating champion Yuzuru Hanyu.

The popularity of the ageing Russian president’s calendars was reportedly fuelled by a surge in self-proclaimed “Putin fans” – mainly young Japanese women apparently seduced by his rugged charms, according to local media including SoraNews24.

One person who is perhaps unlikely to rush out to the nearest Loft store to buy a calendar featuring Mr Putin in all his manly glory is Japan’s prime minister Shinzo Abe, with the surge in calendar sales sitting a little incongruously with current bilateral relations.

Tensions continue to simmer between Japan and Russia thanks to a decades-long territorial dispute over a chain of islands, which is the reason why the two nations have still not signed a World War Two peace treaty.

Indeed, in the shadow of soaring calendar sales was also news this week that Russia had built new barracks for troops on the disputed island chain, a move likely to anger Tokyo after repeatedly urging Moscow to reduce its military activity in the region.

There are reports that Mr Abe may also visit Russia next month in a push to defuse the territorial dispute stalemate between the two nations and take a step towards signing a post-war peace treaty.

Twitter bans Elite Dangerous player for writing a poem about killing thargoids

Twitter has banned an Elite Dangerous player for writing a poem on the social media platform about killing thargoids.

Tim Wellens, an Elite Dangerous player from Belgium, was suspended from Twitter after writing a poem about killing the game’s evil alien race on 4th October – National Poetry Day.

Wellens replied to a poem tweeted from the official Elite Dangerous account…

There once was a pilot from Lave,
Who wasn't particularly brave.
He encountered a Thargoid,
Who he tried to avoid,
But now he's one foot in the grave!#NationalPoetryDay pic.twitter.com/yrHl1O0M1c

— Elite Dangerous (@EliteDangerous) October 4, 2018

… with a poem of his own:

“Roses are red

Violets are blue

Thargoid or foe

I will come to kill you.”

That poem was enough to set the alarm bells ringing at Twitter, which promptly suspended Wellens’ account. In an email sent by Twitter to Wellens, seen by Eurogamer, the social media company explained the account was suspended because it breached rules about posting “violent threats”.

Wellens appealed the decision. “I explained that Elite is a space game and that thargoids are a fictional alien species in a game, and that I never ever threatened a real person or organisation on Twitter,” he told Eurogamer.

“Thargoid or foe, I’m coming to kill you, was directed to the thargoids and enemies in game.”

However, the appeal fell on deaf ears, and Wellens’ Twitter account remains suspended.

Wellens, who has been active on Twitter since 2010 and had 4500 followers, has since re-appealed, but more in hope than expectation.

“In the beginning I was very angry as I follow a lot of friends who I’ve known for a long time,” he said.

“What hurts me the most however is the fact that I feel I’m judged by a computer, and I have no means to defend myself. It’s like fighting an A.I. I understand they have to use software to root out ugly tweets, but I was hoping a human being would do the investigation. It would have only taken them five seconds to see that my tweet was completely harmless – and I have seen much more violent tweets than mine.

“Trump even threatened Korea with fire and death.”

Funnily enough, Wellens isn’t the only Elite Dangerous player to have their Twitter account suspended for a seemingly innocuous reason recently.

On 3rd October, Graeme Crawford, a full-time streamer based in the Hague but originally from the UK, was also suspended from the social media platform – and his appeal was rejected, too.

Crawford, who goes by the name DJ Truthsayer and regularly streams Elite Dangerous, replied to a banter video his friend had posted on Twitter with the following: “I’m going to kill you when I’m not ill.”

Crawford’s Twitter account was suspended, and his appeal was rejected – despite the “victim” tweeting at Twitter itself to insist it was a joke between friends.

Crawford, who had around 1900 followers on Twitter, told Eurogamer this has affected his livelihood.

“I stream full-time on Twitch, and Twitter is one of the primary methods I have to be be able to talk directly to my audience, which is so very important,” Crawford said. “I’ve felt like I’ve been missing one of my arms whilst this has been going on!

“One of the primary things I use Twitter for is to let people know when I’m going live, changes to schedule etc – not being able to do that hurts the bottom line, no doubt.”

Crawford plans to email the general manager of Twitter in the UK to try to explain the situation (we’ve asked the company for comment).

“I’m assuming that my appeal was auto-rejected by a bot of some kind, as I really can’t believe any human would look at our interactions and assume that I was actually threatening my friend!” he said.

“I’m also trying to find other people who this has happened to, as it would seem that I’m not an isolated case, and I really do feel twitter should know about this if they aren’t aware that it’s happening.”

While Wellens and Crawford await their fate, their Twitter accounts remain suspended – and the thargoid threat continues.

How Grace Millane’s murder sparked soul-searching over New Zealand’s domestic violence record

Long thought of as one of the safest legs on backpackers’ round-the-world tickets, New Zealand has been forced to face hard realities in the wake of the alleged murder of British tourist Grace Millane.

The soul-searching of a nation continued on Saturday at the latest public gathering to mark the death. As over a thousand people took to the streets of Auckland to march in memory of the 22-year-old, a cohort made up of some of New Zealand’s most influential women signed a letter to the government demanding it do more to address the country’s endemic problem with domestic violence. 

Thousands have already attended vigils in Ms Millane’s honour across New Zealand as they hope to heal the wounds…

PBO: Liberals Failing To Spend Billions In Infrastructure Cash

OTTAWA — Parliament’s spending watchdog says the Liberals are slipping further behind on their infrastructure program, noting in a new report that only half of the $14.4 billion earmarked for the first phase of the infrastructure plan has been set aside for projects.

The report also warns that while there have been some economic gains from spending, those benefits the Liberals once touted for the spending may not be fully realized.

The parliamentary budget office’s report says the slippage in spending is likely to affect the budgetary balance sheet by reducing planned deficits in one year at the expense of deeper spending in future years.

Parliamentary budget officer Jean-Denis Frechette’s office found 10,052 projects with a combined cost to federal coffers of $7.2 billion have been approved for funding across 32 departments, agencies and Crown corporations since 2016, when the Liberals unveiled the first phase of their infrastructure program,.

That still leaves $7.2 billion to be allotted for projects that the Liberals had hoped would be underway or done by now.

Infrastructure Minister Amarjeet Sohi said the report was not a complete picture of the government’s spending because officials didn’t provide enough information to Frechette’s office.

‘We’re going to deliver every cent’

The government should have some more information by the weekend: Sohi said the government has set a deadline of Saturday for provinces and territories to identify how they plan to spend phase one money he oversees for water and transit projects.

“Every single cent of that $14 billion is committed to programs and is committed to our communities and we’re going to deliver every cent of that,” Sohi said.

Frechette’s concerns about the pace of federal infrastructure spending have been a thorn in the Liberals’ side for more than a year as his office has repeatedly raised questions about delays. His latest report arrives as the Liberals will miss a self-imposed deadline to sign funding deals by the end of March with all provinces and territories for $33 billion in upcoming spending. Two more agreements are to be signed next week.

Federal coffers are set to dole out $186.7 billion in infrastructure money over the next 12 years, but the most recent federal budget indicated about one-quarter of planned spending between 2016 and 2019 was being moved to future years.

Tories, NDP blast inaction

NDP infrastructure critic Brigitte Sansoucy said Frechette’s report confirms the Liberals can’t deliver on their promises. The Bloc Quebecois lamented the disparity in per capita spending that saw Quebec at the bottom of the pack while more money per capita was invested in smaller provinces.

Conservative infrastructure critic Michael Chong said the report reflected a pattern of mismanagement on the infrastructure file, with money not being spent or allocated on time. He said the Liberals promised a solution to this issue during the 2015 election, saying that any uncommitted infrastructure funds would be moved to the gas tax fund that funds work in cities.

“And they’re not doing it,” he said.

“That was their proposal to deal with the problem. They made a half-hearted attempt at it last year and they’re not committing to it this year.”

The Liberals sold the first of their infrastructure program by saying that the money, $11.3 billion of which was committed on a cash basis between April 2016 and this Saturday, would grow the economy by 0.2 per cent in the first 12-months and then by 0.4 per cent in the ensuing 12 months.

The parliamentary budget office estimates spending to date has boosted the economy by 0.1 per cent in each fiscal year and added between 9,600 and 11,100 jobs over the last 12 months.

But the estimates came with a caveat: Almost half of the projects the PBO reviewed didn’t have identifiable start dates, making it tough to determine the “actual timing and magnitude of their economic impact,” the report says.

Frechette’s report says rising interest rates could wipe out any economic gains by the end of March 2022.

Macron’s ‘grand débat’ for restoring order in France gets under way – but is it all just a smokescreen?

In a spartan hall in the provincial town of Chateau-Thierry, a tiny group of local citizens was locked in heated, chaotic discussion on how to save France.

As tempers flared, one woman turned to her neighbour and scolded him for badmouthing the local MP as a liar and a charlatan. “Can we refrain from using swear words and insults,” she exclaimed. “I’m entitled to my opinion,” he scowled. 

The order of the day was “purchasing power” but it soon became a free-for-all on everything from cronyism and conspiracy theories to immigration. A baby escaped its mother’s arms and started banging a plastic cup on the table. “He’s teething,” she said apologetically.

If this is how Emmanuel Macron envisaged…

CTV News Says Patrick Brown Not Entitled To $8 Million In Damages

TORONTO — Lawyers for CTV News say the network did nothing wrong in reporting allegations of sexual misconduct against the former leader of Ontario’s Progressive Conservative party.

In a statement of defence served to Patrick Brown, CTV denies allegations laid out in a defamation lawsuit the former Tory leader launched in April. The statement was first published Saturday by the website Canadaland.

In his statement of claim, Brown alleged the network and several journalists involved in the story acted maliciously and irresponsibly in publishing what he characterizes as false accusations brought forward by two women.

Lawyers for CTV deny those allegations and say Brown is not entitled to the $8 million in damages he is seeking.

“The Named Defendants explicitly deny that the words complained of were falsely and maliciously broadcast or published,” the statement of defence says.

The legal battle comes months after CTV News aired its initial report about the alleged misconduct, which prompted Brown to step down from his post as head of the provincial Tories.

A lawyer for Brown said Saturday he looks forward to “pursuing this litigation on behalf of Mr. Brown and to further his efforts to vindicate his reputation and seek appropriate compensation for the harm done to him.”

A spokesman for CTV said the statement of defence will be filed Monday, and that the network had no further comment.

The statement of defence provides a window into CTV’s investigation into the sexual misconduct allegations, as well as more insight into the network’s process of trying to verify the two women’s accounts.

According to the document, allegations were brought forward to former CP24 reporter Travis Dhanraj in July 2017 and November 2017.

The first tip that Dhanraj received alleged that Brown had “engaged in some sort of sexual misconduct/harassment” against a female staffer on Parliament Hill while he was serving as an MP.

Ultimately, Dhanraj passed the investigation to CTV’s Ottawa Bureau, which the network’s statement said “had more appropriate resources to pursue the story.” The statement also says the Ottawa bureau “had been made aware of other, similar allegations about Brown,” and was conducting its own investigation.

Watch: The #MeToo movement comes to Canadian politics

The statement of defence says CTV’s story was in the public interest as Brown is a politician who was, at the time, seeking to become the premier of Ontario. It also says the network gave Brown a fair amount of time to respond to a request for comment.

Brown announced in May that he would be writing a tell-all book about what he describes as his “political assassination.”

Since the story broke in January, Brown has vehemently denied the allegations, which have not been independently verified by The Canadian Press, saying there are discrepancies in the women’s stories.

Currently, Brown is attempting a political comeback. He’s announced he’s running to become chair of Peel Region.